Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Monero
23 historical signal(s) detected for Monero; 16 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (7 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $294.1979 | $291.5727 | -0.89% | 99.11 |
| 2025-11-10 | 2025-11-17 | $417.3683 | $406.0142 | -2.72% | 96.41 |
| 2026-01-12 | 2026-01-19 | $554.3023 | $561.5478 | +1.31% | 97.67 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $460.2428 | $324.0403 | -29.59% | 68.77 |
| 2026-03-06 | 2026-03-13 | $358.0899 | $340.8073 | -4.83% | 65.45 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $347.6719 | $321.0643 | -7.65% | 60.44 |
| 2026-04-09 | 2026-04-16 | $327.2952 | $344.8241 | +5.36% | 63.68 |
| 2026-04-21 | 2026-04-28 | $353.3475 | $379.9866 | +7.54% | 68.48 |
| 2026-04-28 | 2026-05-05 | $379.9866 | $406.3586 | +6.94% | 73.23 |
| 2026-05-08 | 2026-05-15 | $399.6346 | $395.7990 | -0.96% | 72.53 |
| 2026-05-30 | 2026-06-06 | $396.7936 | $307.9241 | -22.40% | 56.28 |
| 2026-06-12 | 2026-06-19 | $387.1912 | $319.0584 | -17.60% | 46.38 |
| 2026-08-10 | 2026-08-17 | $394.4625 | $409.8816 | +3.91% | 48.19 |
| 2026-08-21 | 2026-08-28 | $410.2195 | $454.8057 | +10.87% | 53.43 |
| 2026-08-28 | 2026-09-04 | $454.8057 | $520.4191 | +14.43% | 61.14 |
| 2026-09-05 | 2026-09-12 | $520.5977 | $521.8295 | +0.24% | 61.28 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.