Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Dogecoin
25 historical signal(s) detected for Dogecoin; 16 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (9 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.1937 | $0.1848 | -4.61% | 95.39 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $0.1625 | $0.1721 | +5.92% | 101.04 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $0.1402 | $0.1503 | +7.18% | 108.30 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $0.1175 | $0.1463 | +24.54% | 134.87 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $0.1488 | $0.1240 | -16.68% | 112.38 |
| 2026-02-01 | 2026-02-08 | $0.1045 | $0.0986 | -5.61% | 106.07 |
| 2026-02-16 | 2026-02-23 | $0.1029 | $0.0938 | -8.88% | 96.66 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $0.0994 | $0.0930 | -6.47% | 90.41 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $0.0961 | $0.0942 | -2.03% | 88.57 |
| 2026-04-15 | 2026-04-22 | $0.0931 | $0.0952 | +2.26% | 90.57 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $0.1041 | $0.1125 | +8.04% | 97.86 |
| 2026-05-07 | 2026-05-14 | $0.1125 | $0.1126 | +0.14% | 97.99 |
| 2026-05-15 | 2026-05-22 | $0.1153 | $0.1055 | -8.53% | 89.64 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $0.0885 | $0.0860 | -2.83% | 87.10 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $0.0750 | $0.0877 | +16.91% | 101.83 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $0.0878 | $0.0829 | -5.62% | 96.11 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Dogecoin · Read the full methodology