Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Chainlink
24 historical signal(s) detected for Chainlink; 17 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (7 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $17.3508 | $16.6196 | -4.21% | 95.79 |
| 2025-10-21 | 2025-10-28 | $18.6583 | $18.2073 | -2.42% | 93.47 |
| 2025-11-05 | 2025-11-12 | $14.7187 | $15.2975 | +3.93% | 97.15 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $12.1179 | $13.1326 | +8.37% | 105.28 |
| 2025-12-04 | 2025-12-11 | $14.6669 | $14.1040 | -3.84% | 101.24 |
| 2026-01-07 | 2026-01-14 | $14.0113 | $14.4011 | +2.78% | 104.06 |
| 2026-01-14 | 2026-01-21 | $14.4011 | $12.6694 | -12.03% | 91.54 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $11.2028 | $9.1344 | -18.46% | 74.64 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $9.7334 | $9.8743 | +1.45% | 75.72 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2026-03-24 | $10.2626 | $9.5910 | -6.54% | 70.77 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $9.5910 | $8.6187 | -10.14% | 63.59 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $9.3260 | $9.0329 | -3.14% | 61.59 |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-12 | $9.3532 | $10.5814 | +13.13% | 69.68 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $8.0063 | $7.8771 | -1.61% | 68.56 |
| 2026-08-12 | 2026-08-19 | $8.7702 | $9.5291 | +8.65% | 74.49 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $10.5474 | $11.6202 | +10.17% | 82.07 |
| 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $11.3193 | $12.7430 | +12.58% | 92.39 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Chainlink · Read the full methodology