Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Cardano
22 historical signal(s) detected for Cardano; 15 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (7 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $0.6359 | $0.6247 | -1.76% | 98.24 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $0.4090 | $0.4205 | +2.83% | 101.02 |
| 2025-12-10 | 2025-12-17 | $0.4702 | $0.3855 | -18.02% | 82.82 |
| 2026-01-31 | 2026-02-07 | $0.3296 | $0.2832 | -14.07% | 71.17 |
| 2026-02-10 | 2026-02-17 | $0.2703 | $0.3079 | +13.90% | 81.06 |
| 2026-03-12 | 2026-03-19 | $0.2628 | $0.2871 | +9.24% | 88.55 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $0.2639 | $0.2400 | -9.08% | 80.51 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-24 | $0.2596 | $0.2499 | -3.70% | 77.53 |
| 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-07 | $0.2446 | $0.2671 | +9.20% | 84.66 |
| 2026-05-29 | 2026-06-05 | $0.2347 | $0.1797 | -23.44% | 64.82 |
| 2026-06-11 | 2026-06-18 | $0.1606 | $0.1667 | +3.82% | 67.29 |
| 2026-07-04 | 2026-07-11 | $0.1798 | $0.1666 | -7.31% | 62.37 |
| 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-10 | $0.1894 | $0.1944 | +2.67% | 64.04 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $0.1870 | $0.2124 | +13.56% | 72.72 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $0.2212 | $0.2046 | -7.49% | 67.27 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.