Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for BNB
21 historical signal(s) detected for BNB; 15 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (6 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-10 | 2025-10-17 | $1255.6065 | $1145.3729 | -8.78% | 91.22 |
| 2025-11-22 | 2025-11-29 | $830.0518 | $887.4820 | +6.92% | 97.53 |
| 2025-12-18 | 2025-12-25 | $842.7724 | $846.0128 | +0.38% | 97.91 |
| 2026-01-01 | 2026-01-08 | $862.6876 | $898.5170 | +4.15% | 101.97 |
| 2026-01-18 | 2026-01-25 | $946.2572 | $885.2762 | -6.44% | 95.40 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $867.5133 | $606.9029 | -30.04% | 66.74 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $629.0621 | $658.3187 | +4.65% | 69.85 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $655.2115 | $642.1471 | -1.99% | 68.45 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-03-31 | $639.1975 | $608.7289 | -4.77% | 65.19 |
| 2026-04-02 | 2026-04-09 | $610.8885 | $600.8833 | -1.64% | 64.12 |
| 2026-05-05 | 2026-05-12 | $622.5454 | $670.3092 | +7.67% | 69.04 |
| 2026-05-31 | 2026-06-07 | $719.2840 | $574.2854 | -20.16% | 55.12 |
| 2026-07-31 | 2026-08-07 | $591.6968 | $591.7111 | +0.00% | 55.13 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2026-08-27 | $627.0534 | $707.4796 | +12.83% | 62.20 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $725.0808 | $708.4278 | -2.30% | 60.77 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.