Historical rule simulator
Backtest: After a 1.5x Volume Spike
Simulates one mechanical rule — buy after a 1.5x volume spike, hold a fixed number of days, then exit — using only this site's own historical occurrence data. Only one position is held at a time; signals that fire while already in a trade are skipped and shown below.
Rule results for Avalanche
24 historical signal(s) detected for Avalanche; 17 non-overlapping trade(s) taken at a 7-day hold (7 skipped because a position was already open).
Hypothetical growth of $100
1 accepted trade(s) are still within their 7-day hold and are excluded from the stats and chart above.
| Entry date | Exit date | Entry price | Exit price | Trade return | Equity after |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-11 | 2025-10-18 | $20.8648 | $19.9597 | -4.34% | 95.66 |
| 2025-11-08 | 2025-11-15 | $17.7863 | $15.1362 | -14.90% | 81.41 |
| 2026-01-13 | 2026-01-20 | $13.5125 | $12.7407 | -5.71% | 76.76 |
| 2026-01-30 | 2026-02-06 | $11.0771 | $8.3277 | -24.82% | 57.71 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2026-02-13 | $8.3277 | $8.9723 | +7.74% | 62.17 |
| 2026-02-26 | 2026-03-05 | $9.5407 | $9.5327 | -0.08% | 62.12 |
| 2026-03-05 | 2026-03-12 | $9.5327 | $9.5542 | +0.23% | 62.26 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2026-03-21 | $9.7438 | $9.5785 | -1.70% | 61.21 |
| 2026-04-08 | 2026-04-15 | $9.4585 | $9.3153 | -1.51% | 60.28 |
| 2026-04-17 | 2026-04-24 | $9.7306 | $9.3838 | -3.56% | 58.13 |
| 2026-06-05 | 2026-06-12 | $7.6985 | $6.6369 | -13.79% | 50.12 |
| 2026-06-20 | 2026-06-27 | $5.8922 | $6.6154 | +12.27% | 56.27 |
| 2026-07-26 | 2026-08-02 | $6.7721 | $6.1869 | -8.64% | 51.40 |
| 2026-08-03 | 2026-08-10 | $6.5442 | $6.4182 | -1.93% | 50.41 |
| 2026-08-16 | 2026-08-23 | $6.3244 | $7.4933 | +18.48% | 59.73 |
| 2026-09-04 | 2026-09-11 | $7.5180 | $7.4249 | -1.24% | 58.99 |
How this backtest works
Every trade uses the same independent-episode detection and forward-return data as the full study page. A trade is entered on the day a signal triggers and exited exactly 7 days later at the historical close; a new signal is ignored while a trade is still open, so the trade count below is always less than or equal to the number of raw signals. Returns compound sequentially starting from a hypothetical $100.
View the full study for Avalanche · Read the full methodology